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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bears @ raiders week 10, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CHI logo
CHIBears
3-5
17
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
62°F
14 mph
6
OAKRaiders
2-6
OAK logo
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
62°F
14 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
3
0
14
17
Raiders
3
0
0
3
6

Game Statistics

General
Bears logo
Raiders logo
Total Yards
295
193
Total Plays
65
60
Yards / Play
4.5
3.2
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.36
Passing Yards
217
80
Comp/Att
17/28(61%)
14/27(52%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
3.0
EPA / Pass
+0.14
-0.63
Rushing Yards
78
113
Rush Attempts
34
29
Yards / Rush
2.3
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
Bears logo
Raiders logo
1st Downs
16
12
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
31%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
50%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
--
Negative Plays
Bears logo
Raiders logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-11.96
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-22
-28
Sack EPA
-4.22
-10.54
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
50
--
Penalty EPA
-5.08
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CHI logo
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bears Offense vs Raiders Defense
Bears logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
18
26
Yards / Game
27
21
Passing Yards / Game
6
12
Rushing Yards / Game
30
31

EPA

EPA / Play
26
26
EPA / Pass
26
15
EPA / Rush
30
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
10
Interceptions / Game
28
8
Fumbles / Game
15
18
Turnover EPA / Game
15
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
13
4th Down Efficiency
18
21
RZ Efficiency
27
11
Raiders Offense vs Bears Defense
Raiders logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
23
17
Yards / Game
25
28
Passing Yards / Game
28
30
Rushing Yards / Game
3
24

EPA

EPA / Play
25
5
EPA / Pass
22
14
EPA / Rush
19
13

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
9
Interceptions / Game
24
18
Fumbles / Game
26
1
Turnover EPA / Game
17
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
2
4th Down Efficiency
20
29
RZ Efficiency
4
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CHI logo

Bears

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/21
25
W
W
P
02/04
-12
L
L
P
09/09
-11
L
L
P
09/16
10
W
L
P
09/23
-24
L
L
P
09/30
-10
L
L
P
10/07
7
W
W
P
10/14
-3
L
L
P
10/21
3
W
W
P
10/28
-9
L
L
P
OAK logo

Raiders

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/23
-11
L
L
P
12/31
-20
L
L
P
09/09
-15
L
L
P
09/16
-3
L
W
P
09/23
2
W
L
P
09/30
18
W
W
P
10/14
-14
L
L
P
10/21
-2
L
L
P
10/28
-4
L
W
P
11/04
-7
L
L
P