CHIBears
7-3
20
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
59°F
6 mph
25
OAKRaiders
6-4
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
59°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
7
0
13
20
Raiders
6
6
6
7
25
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
401
341
Total Plays
67
68
Yards / Play
6.0
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.01
Passing Yards
229
268
Comp/Att
18/36(50%)
21/37(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.37
-0.06
Rushing Yards
172
73
Rush Attempts
27
27
Yards / Rush
6.4
2.7
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
17
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
43%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
50%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-16.15
-1.65
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-25
-33
Sack EPA
-5.73
-5.64
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
61
44
Penalty EPA
-11.26
-4.05
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+99
Home nfelo
1,517
Away nfelo
1,606
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+125.4
Home QB Adjustment
+23.7
Away QB Adjustment
-101.8
Market Regression
+17.7
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Hanie
Proj. Value
-6.5
Team Elo Adj
-101.8
No recent game data available
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+23.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
29
Yards / Game
25
29
Passing Yards / Game
30
16
Rushing Yards / Game
9
27
EPA
EPA / Play
24
30
EPA / Pass
30
25
EPA / Rush
19
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
30
Interceptions / Game
25
10
Fumbles / Game
22
26
Turnover EPA / Game
8
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
25
4th Down Efficiency
30
5
RZ Efficiency
12
23
Raiders Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
14
Yards / Game
9
17
Passing Yards / Game
26
22
Rushing Yards / Game
6
5
EPA
EPA / Play
10
4
EPA / Pass
13
9
EPA / Rush
8
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
5
Interceptions / Game
27
5
Fumbles / Game
6
18
Turnover EPA / Game
11
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
9
4th Down Efficiency
8
14
RZ Efficiency
23
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Raiders
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U