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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bears @ ravens week 8, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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CHI logo
CHIBears
4-2
16
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
60°F
2 mph
30
BALRavens
1-5
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
60°F
2 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
6
0
0
10
16
Ravens
0
10
6
14
30

Spread

BAL logo
-2.5

Total

OVER
45

Game Statistics

General
Bears logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
372
355
Total Plays
62
59
Yards / Play
6.0
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.31
Passing Yards
276
178
Comp/Att
25/38(66%)
17/22(77%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
8.1
EPA / Pass
+0.03
+0.24
Rushing Yards
96
177
Rush Attempts
23
35
Yards / Rush
4.2
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.02
+0.21
Downs & Conversions
Bears logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
19
24
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
13
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
46%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Bears logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.29
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-9
-8
Sack EPA
-1.51
-2.25
Penalties
11
6
Penalty Yards
79
45
Penalty EPA
-9.95
-4.61

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market56.1%
Model55.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+6
Home nfelo
1,536
Away nfelo
1,480
Home Field
+60.4
Base HFA
+41.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+11.8
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.4
Net QB Adjustment
-110.8
Home QB Adjustment
-108.7
Away QB Adjustment
+2.1
Market Regression
-41.7
Final Difference
35.0
Model Spread
-2.5

Quarterbacks

C. Williams headshot

C. Williams

Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
+2.1
Value
Ptile
12/16
-2.5
31
12/22
5.9
84
12/26
-10.6
1
01/05
1.9
62
09/08
4.5
80
09/14
-2.8
30
09/21
8.3
95
09/28
-3.2
28
10/13
-0.2
49
10/19
-6.3
11
T. Huntley headshot

T. Huntley

Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-108.7
Value
Ptile
12/11
-3.3
26
12/17
-7.4
8
12/24
-3.4
26
01/01
-1.8
40
01/15
2.4
72
01/06
-2.7
31
09/30
-1.7
37
10/06
-6.1
11
12/29
6.6
87
01/05
-4.9
17

Team Matchup Ranks

Bears Offense vs Ravens Defense
Bears logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
10
18
Yards / Game
3
25
Passing Yards / Game
26
29
Rushing Yards / Game
3
11

EPA

EPA / Play
10
14
EPA / Pass
10
21
EPA / Rush
4
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
11
Interceptions / Game
1
15
Fumbles / Game
3
4
Turnover EPA / Game
32
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
9
4th Down Efficiency
21
19
RZ Efficiency
19
5
Ravens Offense vs Bears Defense
Ravens logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
11
22
Yards / Game
16
28
Passing Yards / Game
19
11
Rushing Yards / Game
1
28

EPA

EPA / Play
14
15
EPA / Pass
25
15
EPA / Rush
1
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
29
Interceptions / Game
11
1
Fumbles / Game
28
4
Turnover EPA / Game
7
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
19
4th Down Efficiency
17
9
RZ Efficiency
29
16

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CHI logo

Bears

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/16
-18
L
L
U
12/22
-17
L
L
O
12/26
-3
L
W
U
01/05
2
W
W
O
09/08
-3
L
L
O
09/14
-31
L
L
O
09/21
17
W
W
U
09/28
1
W
W
O
10/13
1
W
W
U
10/19
12
W
W
U
BAL logo

Ravens

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/25
29
W
W
U
01/04
25
W
W
O
01/11
14
W
W
U
01/19
-2
L
L
O
09/07
-1
L
L
O
09/14
24
W
W
O
09/22
-8
L
L
O
09/28
-17
L
L
O
10/05
-34
L
L
O
10/12
-14
L
L
U