CHIBears
1-3
13
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
020
NOSaints
1-4
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
3
0
10
13
Saints
3
3
7
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
271
283
Total Plays
56
63
Yards / Play
4.8
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.01
Passing Yards
131
--
Comp/Att
10/21(48%)
14/29(48%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
--
EPA / Pass
-0.05
+0.17
Rushing Yards
140
130
Rush Attempts
32
34
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
8
7
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
33%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
4
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-8.65
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-10.31
--
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
86
35
Penalty EPA
-7.31
-3.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
14
Yards / Game
28
18
Passing Yards / Game
14
16
Rushing Yards / Game
18
27
EPA
EPA / Play
24
15
EPA / Pass
31
14
EPA / Rush
8
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
15
Interceptions / Game
25
20
Fumbles / Game
9
18
Turnover EPA / Game
17
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
15
4th Down Efficiency
2
23
RZ Efficiency
18
15
Saints Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
21
Yards / Game
11
14
Passing Yards / Game
7
5
Rushing Yards / Game
10
16
EPA
EPA / Play
14
20
EPA / Pass
12
19
EPA / Rush
22
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
4
Interceptions / Game
1
15
Fumbles / Game
32
32
Turnover EPA / Game
13
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
20
4th Down Efficiency
31
9
RZ Efficiency
11
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U