CHIBears
9-6
24
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
031
HOUTexans
7-8
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
10
0
7
7
24
Texans
0
14
7
10
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
294
455
Total Plays
57
72
Yards / Play
5.2
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.15
Passing Yards
225
--
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
27/36(75%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.30
Rushing Yards
69
127
Rush Attempts
18
36
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
25
Passing 1st downs
14
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
20%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
75%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.08
-5.17
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-19
--
Sack EPA
-4.94
--
Penalties
2
7
Penalty Yards
--
70
Penalty EPA
--
-10.16
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
27
Yards / Game
26
22
Passing Yards / Game
7
16
Rushing Yards / Game
22
23
EPA
EPA / Play
25
25
EPA / Pass
27
19
EPA / Rush
27
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
16
Interceptions / Game
15
23
Fumbles / Game
29
12
Turnover EPA / Game
14
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
16
4th Down Efficiency
23
32
RZ Efficiency
13
29
Texans Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
15
Yards / Game
3
21
Passing Yards / Game
2
9
Rushing Yards / Game
12
5
EPA
EPA / Play
13
7
EPA / Pass
12
10
EPA / Rush
8
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
21
Interceptions / Game
29
3
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
4
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
6
4th Down Efficiency
7
14
RZ Efficiency
27
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
6-4
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U