CHIBears
7-2
13
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
06
MINVikings
4-5
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
10
0
3
13
Vikings
0
0
3
3
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
235
316
Total Plays
52
72
Yards / Play
4.5
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.27
Passing Yards
93
192
Comp/Att
10/21(48%)
26/46(57%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
4.2
EPA / Pass
-0.34
-0.32
Rushing Yards
142
124
Rush Attempts
30
23
Yards / Rush
4.7
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
15
Passing 1st downs
3
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
23%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
19
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.04
-4.96
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-4
-17
Sack EPA
-1.71
-2.97
Penalties
2
11
Penalty Yards
--
75
Penalty EPA
--
-7.70
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
26
Yards / Game
27
27
Passing Yards / Game
30
10
Rushing Yards / Game
16
30
EPA
EPA / Play
18
27
EPA / Pass
23
29
EPA / Rush
15
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
7
Interceptions / Game
15
31
Fumbles / Game
2
23
Turnover EPA / Game
15
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
24
4th Down Efficiency
15
29
RZ Efficiency
18
23
Vikings Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
2
Yards / Game
12
14
Passing Yards / Game
20
28
Rushing Yards / Game
24
2
EPA
EPA / Play
22
3
EPA / Pass
22
7
EPA / Rush
5
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
31
Interceptions / Game
27
9
Fumbles / Game
28
3
Turnover EPA / Game
2
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
9
4th Down Efficiency
18
3
RZ Efficiency
20
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
8-2
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U