CHIBears
11-4
10
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
034
MINVikings
8-7
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
3
0
0
7
10
Vikings
0
17
7
10
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
251
396
Total Plays
59
58
Yards / Play
4.3
6.8
EPA / Play
-0.08
+0.31
Passing Yards
97
--
Comp/Att
14/23(61%)
27/40(68%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.09
+0.17
Rushing Yards
154
149
Rush Attempts
33
18
Yards / Rush
4.7
8.3
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.60
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
22
Passing 1st downs
6
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
38%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-24
--
Sack EPA
-4.42
--
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
45
45
Penalty EPA
-4.74
-4.35
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
19
Yards / Game
28
21
Passing Yards / Game
32
7
Rushing Yards / Game
9
19
EPA
EPA / Play
31
9
EPA / Pass
31
16
EPA / Rush
20
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
2
Interceptions / Game
13
2
Fumbles / Game
14
23
Turnover EPA / Game
26
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
30
4th Down Efficiency
17
12
RZ Efficiency
15
9
Vikings Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
1
Yards / Game
25
4
Passing Yards / Game
15
11
Rushing Yards / Game
27
11
EPA
EPA / Play
24
1
EPA / Pass
19
1
EPA / Rush
27
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
20
Interceptions / Game
17
3
Fumbles / Game
22
22
Turnover EPA / Game
13
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
2
4th Down Efficiency
17
4
RZ Efficiency
23
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
9-1
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U