CINBengals
2-5
21
TBD
New Era Field
47°F
9 mph
33
BUFBills
3-4
TBD
New Era Field
47°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
7
7
7
0
21
Bills
7
6
3
17
33
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
299
479
Total Plays
56
70
Yards / Play
5.3
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.27
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
26/39(67%)
25/35(71%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.22
+0.39
Rushing Yards
28
176
Rush Attempts
17
35
Yards / Rush
1.6
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.21
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
23
Passing 1st downs
14
15
Rushing 1st downs
2
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
50%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
67%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.11
-1.80
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
18
Yards / Game
9
31
Passing Yards / Game
17
18
Rushing Yards / Game
23
25
EPA
EPA / Play
9
27
EPA / Pass
7
28
EPA / Rush
15
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
23
Interceptions / Game
24
8
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
12
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
29
4th Down Efficiency
29
10
RZ Efficiency
22
4
Bills Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
24
Yards / Game
30
27
Passing Yards / Game
32
10
Rushing Yards / Game
16
21
EPA
EPA / Play
24
24
EPA / Pass
31
29
EPA / Rush
16
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
31
Interceptions / Game
6
7
Fumbles / Game
8
3
Turnover EPA / Game
27
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
27
4th Down Efficiency
16
17
RZ Efficiency
30
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U