CINBengals
2-13
9
TBD
New Era Field
35°F
9 mph
27
BUFBills
7-8
TBD
New Era Field
35°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
3
0
6
9
Bills
6
14
7
0
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
317
324
Total Plays
56
71
Yards / Play
5.7
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.25
+0.06
Passing Yards
233
225
Comp/Att
19/35(54%)
23/31(74%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
7.3
EPA / Pass
-0.39
+0.21
Rushing Yards
84
99
Rush Attempts
19
38
Yards / Rush
4.4
2.6
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
23
Passing 1st downs
12
15
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
11%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-12.83
-9.85
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-8
-6
Sack EPA
-5.00
-5.39
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
105
71
Penalty EPA
-10.54
-8.02
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
27
Yards / Game
19
14
Passing Yards / Game
14
6
Rushing Yards / Game
20
29
EPA
EPA / Play
24
26
EPA / Pass
25
17
EPA / Rush
7
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
2
Interceptions / Game
26
26
Fumbles / Game
12
24
Turnover EPA / Game
8
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
9
4th Down Efficiency
23
11
RZ Efficiency
26
32
Bills Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
32
Yards / Game
9
18
Passing Yards / Game
1
4
Rushing Yards / Game
23
21
EPA
EPA / Play
11
32
EPA / Pass
7
31
EPA / Rush
22
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
13
Interceptions / Game
12
30
Fumbles / Game
21
12
Turnover EPA / Game
5
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
23
4th Down Efficiency
11
15
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U