CINBengals
-
27
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
72°F
9 mph
17
CLEBrowns
-
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
72°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
10
3
0
14
27
Browns
0
14
3
0
17
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
36.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
294
285
Total Plays
64
68
Yards / Play
4.6
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.18
Passing Yards
155
202
Comp/Att
15/27(56%)
19/40(48%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
5.0
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.23
Rushing Yards
139
83
Rush Attempts
33
26
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
41%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-2.73
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-18
-11
Sack EPA
-4.41
-2.88
Penalties
3
11
Penalty Yards
22
72
Penalty EPA
-2.73
-6.78
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model65.6%
Spread Pick
Bengals+7.0
Expected Value
+9.2%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+63
Home nfelo
1,464
Away nfelo
1,459
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+1.9
Home QB Adjustment
-5.4
Away QB Adjustment
-7.3
Market Regression
-4.2
Final Difference
111.8
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-7.3
No recent game data available
D. McCoy
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-5.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
5
Yards / Game
22
10
Passing Yards / Game
19
6
Rushing Yards / Game
21
30
EPA
EPA / Play
19
18
EPA / Pass
18
12
EPA / Rush
21
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
14
Interceptions / Game
19
30
Fumbles / Game
4
4
Turnover EPA / Game
26
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
24
4th Down Efficiency
25
16
RZ Efficiency
25
3
Browns Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
12
Yards / Game
29
6
Passing Yards / Game
20
19
Rushing Yards / Game
28
12
EPA
EPA / Play
26
10
EPA / Pass
23
11
EPA / Rush
24
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
27
Interceptions / Game
9
29
Fumbles / Game
1
9
Turnover EPA / Game
27
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
14
4th Down Efficiency
7
8
RZ Efficiency
29
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Browns
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U