CINBengals
7-6
34
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
36°F
1 mph
13
PHIEagles
4-9
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
36°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
10
0
8
10
28
Eagles
0
13
0
0
13
Spread
-5
Total
OVER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
249
219
Total Plays
74
53
Yards / Play
3.4
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.74
Passing Yards
92
177
Comp/Att
13/27(48%)
16/33(48%)
Yards / Pass
3.4
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.59
-0.55
Rushing Yards
157
42
Rush Attempts
41
19
Yards / Rush
3.8
2.2
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.61
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
10
Passing 1st downs
6
6
Rushing 1st downs
11
1
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
39%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
5
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
4
Turnover EPA
-8.87
-27.04
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-35
-3
Sack EPA
-14.14
-1.06
Penalties
11
9
Penalty Yards
94
76
Penalty EPA
-10.42
-9.49
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market67.5%
Model61.8%
Spread Pick
Eagles+5.0
Expected Value
+4.1%
Cover Probability
54.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-36
Home nfelo
1,472
Away nfelo
1,524
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-68.9
Home QB Adjustment
-65.0
Away QB Adjustment
+3.9
Market Regression
-15.4
Final Difference
-83.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
+3.9
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-65.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
29
Yards / Game
23
14
Passing Yards / Game
22
3
Rushing Yards / Game
18
21
EPA
EPA / Play
17
29
EPA / Pass
23
31
EPA / Rush
8
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
5
Interceptions / Game
18
30
Fumbles / Game
18
26
Turnover EPA / Game
19
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
27
4th Down Efficiency
3
1
RZ Efficiency
18
19
Eagles Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
8
Yards / Game
17
8
Passing Yards / Game
6
8
Rushing Yards / Game
13
14
EPA
EPA / Play
27
4
EPA / Pass
24
3
EPA / Rush
27
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
7
Interceptions / Game
14
17
Fumbles / Game
32
4
Turnover EPA / Game
1
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
10
4th Down Efficiency
10
7
RZ Efficiency
29
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
2-8
O/U
Eagles
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U