CINBengals
2-8
10
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
6 mph
26
NYJJets
8-2
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
7
0
3
10
Jets
0
3
14
7
24
Spread
-10
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
163
319
Total Plays
62
67
Yards / Play
2.6
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.17
+0.05
Passing Yards
117
149
Comp/Att
17/39(44%)
16/28(57%)
Yards / Pass
3.0
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.24
-0.24
Rushing Yards
46
170
Rush Attempts
20
37
Yards / Rush
2.3
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.35
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
18
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
1
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
27%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.75
+1.32
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-18
-17
Sack EPA
-3.84
-2.94
Penalties
2
8
Penalty Yards
25
64
Penalty EPA
-3.19
-4.82
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model79.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+189
Home nfelo
1,569
Away nfelo
1,449
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+5.2
Home QB Adjustment
+13.7
Away QB Adjustment
+8.5
Market Regression
-2.8
Final Difference
233.0
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+8.5
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
+13.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
5
Yards / Game
20
3
Passing Yards / Game
24
20
Rushing Yards / Game
27
5
EPA
EPA / Play
19
8
EPA / Pass
17
9
EPA / Rush
31
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
29
Interceptions / Game
24
25
Fumbles / Game
26
4
Turnover EPA / Game
6
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
15
4th Down Efficiency
5
12
RZ Efficiency
23
25
Jets Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
24
Yards / Game
12
14
Passing Yards / Game
27
10
Rushing Yards / Game
4
19
EPA
EPA / Play
15
28
EPA / Pass
18
20
EPA / Rush
6
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
25
Interceptions / Game
10
14
Fumbles / Game
5
17
Turnover EPA / Game
28
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
13
4th Down Efficiency
21
3
RZ Efficiency
28
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Jets
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
8-2
O/U