CINBengals
10-5
0
TBD
Giants Stadium
20°F
17 mph
37
NYJJets
8-7
TBD
Giants Stadium
20°F
17 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
0
0
0
0
Jets
7
20
3
7
37
Spread
-10
Total
OVER
33.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
72
320
Total Plays
40
73
Yards / Play
1.8
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.74
+0.12
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
4/19(21%)
8/16(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
-1.60
-0.05
Rushing Yards
72
257
Rush Attempts
18
57
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.09
+0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
5
21
Passing 1st downs
1
5
Rushing 1st downs
3
15
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
9%
61%
3rd Down Conversions
1
11
3rd Down Attempts
11
18
Red Zone %
0%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-17.94
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-31
--
Sack EPA
-15.17
--
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
44
20
Penalty EPA
-4.96
-3.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model76.0%
Spread Pick
Bengals+10.0
Expected Value
+11.7%
Cover Probability
55.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+124
Home nfelo
1,588
Away nfelo
1,502
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-24.2
Home QB Adjustment
-24.1
Away QB Adjustment
+0.2
Market Regression
+7.8
Final Difference
200.5
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+0.2
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-24.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
1
Yards / Game
24
1
Passing Yards / Game
21
2
Rushing Yards / Game
7
7
EPA
EPA / Play
19
1
EPA / Pass
16
1
EPA / Rush
12
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
26
Interceptions / Game
8
14
Fumbles / Game
21
18
Turnover EPA / Game
17
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
1
4th Down Efficiency
4
3
RZ Efficiency
21
5
Jets Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
5
Yards / Game
20
5
Passing Yards / Game
32
12
Rushing Yards / Game
1
8
EPA
EPA / Play
20
7
EPA / Pass
25
10
EPA / Rush
6
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
22
Interceptions / Game
27
11
Fumbles / Game
17
32
Turnover EPA / Game
21
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
13
4th Down Efficiency
1
12
RZ Efficiency
16
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Jets
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-5-1
O/U