CINBengals
1-1
20
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
67°F
8 mph
7
CARPanthers
0-2
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
67°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
7
3
0
10
20
Panthers
0
0
7
0
7
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
305
267
Total Plays
75
58
Yards / Play
4.1
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.42
Passing Yards
185
180
Comp/Att
19/37(51%)
16/33(48%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
5.5
EPA / Pass
-0.29
-0.11
Rushing Yards
120
87
Rush Attempts
37
24
Yards / Rush
3.2
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.64
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
17
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
29%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
17
11
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
-7.90
-17.09
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-10
-8
Sack EPA
-2.13
-0.62
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
69
45
Penalty EPA
-7.62
-6.83
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model51.1%
Spread Pick
Panthers+3.5
Expected Value
+14.9%
Cover Probability
60.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+128
Home nfelo
1,475
Away nfelo
1,462
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+30.8
Home QB Adjustment
+31.5
Away QB Adjustment
+0.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-7.9
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+0.6
J. Clausen
Proj. Value
-3.0
Team Elo Adj
+31.5
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
25
Yards / Game
20
17
Passing Yards / Game
24
21
Rushing Yards / Game
27
23
EPA
EPA / Play
19
17
EPA / Pass
17
12
EPA / Rush
31
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
2
Interceptions / Game
24
11
Fumbles / Game
26
10
Turnover EPA / Game
6
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
14
4th Down Efficiency
5
12
RZ Efficiency
23
10
Panthers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
24
Yards / Game
32
14
Passing Yards / Game
30
10
Rushing Yards / Game
12
19
EPA
EPA / Play
32
28
EPA / Pass
32
20
EPA / Rush
32
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
25
Interceptions / Game
27
14
Fumbles / Game
30
17
Turnover EPA / Game
4
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
13
4th Down Efficiency
18
3
RZ Efficiency
32
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
5-5
O/U
Panthers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U