CINBengals
7-2
17
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
54°F
8 mph
20
OAKRaiders
2-7
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
54°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
7
7
3
0
17
Raiders
0
7
3
10
20
Spread
+8.5
Total
OVER
36
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
348
275
Total Plays
68
58
Yards / Play
5.1
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.08
Passing Yards
171
--
Comp/Att
14/22(64%)
17/34(50%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
--
EPA / Pass
+0.26
+0.12
Rushing Yards
177
92
Rush Attempts
43
24
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.59
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
16
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
12
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
46%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
40%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
3
2
Turnover EPA
-15.80
-14.60
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-36
--
Sack EPA
-10.60
--
Penalties
8
3
Penalty Yards
59
--
Penalty EPA
-5.74
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-8.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market77.4%
Model71.6%
Spread Pick
Raiders+8.5
Expected Value
+17.7%
Cover Probability
61.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-117
Home nfelo
1,329
Away nfelo
1,516
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-36.9
Home QB Adjustment
-21.8
Away QB Adjustment
+15.1
Market Regression
+13.6
Final Difference
-160.5
Model Spread
+6.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+15.1
B. Gradkowski
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-21.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
23
Yards / Game
24
25
Passing Yards / Game
21
15
Rushing Yards / Game
7
29
EPA
EPA / Play
19
26
EPA / Pass
16
27
EPA / Rush
12
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
3
Interceptions / Game
8
31
Fumbles / Game
21
23
Turnover EPA / Game
17
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
7
4th Down Efficiency
4
28
RZ Efficiency
21
10
Raiders Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
5
Yards / Game
31
5
Passing Yards / Game
26
12
Rushing Yards / Game
21
8
EPA
EPA / Play
29
7
EPA / Pass
30
10
EPA / Rush
22
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
22
Interceptions / Game
22
11
Fumbles / Game
32
32
Turnover EPA / Game
11
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
13
4th Down Efficiency
18
12
RZ Efficiency
29
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Raiders
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
3-6-1
O/U