CINBengals
7-6
20
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
013
LARRams
2-11
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
3
0
10
7
20
Rams
0
6
0
7
13
Spread
7
P
Total
UNDER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
283
305
Total Plays
61
63
Yards / Play
4.6
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.28
Passing Yards
173
210
Comp/Att
15/26(58%)
25/36(69%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.00
-0.07
Rushing Yards
110
95
Rush Attempts
34
24
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
7
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
5
3
3rd Down %
27%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.71
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-6
-19
Sack EPA
-1.24
-6.51
Penalties
11
9
Penalty Yards
101
99
Penalty EPA
-10.21
-17.33
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model69.5%
Spread Pick
Rams+7.0
Expected Value
+6.2%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-108
Home nfelo
1,330
Away nfelo
1,472
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-17.8
Home QB Adjustment
-12.2
Away QB Adjustment
+5.6
Market Regression
-3.4
Final Difference
-143.0
Model Spread
+6.0
Quarterbacks
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
+5.6
K. Clemens
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-12.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
25
Yards / Game
22
21
Passing Yards / Game
19
14
Rushing Yards / Game
21
31
EPA
EPA / Play
19
16
EPA / Pass
18
20
EPA / Rush
21
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
1
Interceptions / Game
19
23
Fumbles / Game
4
29
Turnover EPA / Game
26
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
18
4th Down Efficiency
25
29
RZ Efficiency
25
13
Rams Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
12
Yards / Game
31
6
Passing Yards / Game
21
19
Rushing Yards / Game
23
12
EPA
EPA / Play
32
10
EPA / Pass
31
11
EPA / Rush
32
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
27
Interceptions / Game
3
29
Fumbles / Game
27
9
Turnover EPA / Game
13
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
14
4th Down Efficiency
24
8
RZ Efficiency
31
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
8-2
O/U
Rams
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
3-7
O/U