nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bengals @ seahawks week 1, 2019

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

CIN logo
CINBengals
-
20
TBD
Lumen Field
64°F
7 mph
21
SEASeahawks
-
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
64°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
3
14
0
3
20
Seahawks
0
14
0
7
21

Spread

CIN logo
+9.5

Total

UNDER
44

Game Statistics

General
Bengals logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
429
232
Total Plays
70
49
Yards / Play
6.1
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.05
Passing Yards
395
160
Comp/Att
35/51(69%)
14/20(70%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.17
-0.11
Rushing Yards
34
72
Rush Attempts
14
25
Yards / Rush
2.4
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.61
-0.27
Downs & Conversions
Bengals logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
22
12
Passing 1st downs
18
6
Rushing 1st downs
1
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
40%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Bengals logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-6.65
-0.67
Sacks
5
4
Sack Yards
-23
-35
Sack EPA
-10.87
-6.81
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
57
55
Penalty EPA
-7.24
-8.01

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-9.5
Model
-9.5

Win Probability

Market78.5%
Model78.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+184
Home nfelo
1,538
Away nfelo
1,447
Home Field
+89.5
Base HFA
+58.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.4
Time Adj
+10.5
Net QB Adjustment
+2.7
Home QB Adjustment
+1.4
Away QB Adjustment
-1.2
Market Regression
-7.8
Final Difference
225.0
Model Spread
-9.5

Quarterbacks

A. Dalton headshot

A. Dalton

Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-1.2
Value
Ptile
09/13
7.5
91
09/23
-3.2
26
09/30
4.0
74
10/07
-0.9
41
10/14
-0.2
45
10/21
-6.6
11
10/28
0.6
50
11/11
-9.6
4
11/18
2.4
66
11/25
-3.5
25
R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+1.4
Value
Ptile
11/04
1.2
54
11/11
5.1
81
11/15
1.7
59
11/25
4.5
77
12/02
1.7
59
12/10
-4.9
18
12/16
1.9
61
12/23
5.5
83
12/30
-9.9
3
01/05
3.6
73

Team Matchup Ranks

Bengals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Bengals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
30
19
Yards / Game
26
23
Passing Yards / Game
11
7
Rushing Yards / Game
25
22

EPA

EPA / Play
25
19
EPA / Pass
29
18
EPA / Rush
22
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
9
Interceptions / Game
23
9
Fumbles / Game
27
4
Turnover EPA / Game
6
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
18
4th Down Efficiency
12
20
RZ Efficiency
30
22
Seahawks Offense vs Bengals Defense
Seahawks logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
9
25
Yards / Game
6
29
Passing Yards / Game
10
9
Rushing Yards / Game
6
32

EPA

EPA / Play
9
30
EPA / Pass
7
29
EPA / Rush
19
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
9
Interceptions / Game
1
21
Fumbles / Game
31
25
Turnover EPA / Game
20
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
25
4th Down Efficiency
10
20
RZ Efficiency
7
4

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CIN logo

Bengals

2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
4-4-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/21
-35
L
L
U
10/28
3
W
L
O
11/11
-37
L
L
O
11/18
-3
L
W
O
11/25
-15
L
L
O
12/02
-14
L
L
U
12/09
-5
L
W
U
12/16
14
W
W
P
12/23
-8
L
W
P
12/30
-3
L
W
U
SEA logo

Seahawks

6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
8-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/04
-8
L
L
U
11/11
-5
L
W
O
11/15
3
W
P
O
11/25
3
W
W
O
12/02
27
W
W
O
12/10
14
W
W
U
12/16
-3
L
L
O
12/23
7
W
W
O
12/30
3
W
L
O
01/05
-2
L
W
O