CINBengals
2-10
7
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
37°F
8 mph
23
PITSteelers
9-3
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
37°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
7
0
0
0
7
Steelers
0
4
3
4
11
Spread
-8.5
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
190
354
Total Plays
49
64
Yards / Play
3.9
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.29
+0.04
Passing Yards
156
231
Comp/Att
20/32(63%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.09
Rushing Yards
34
123
Rush Attempts
14
27
Yards / Rush
2.4
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
25%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
8
15
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-18.78
--
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-22
-27
Sack EPA
-3.93
-6.61
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
--
89
Penalty EPA
--
-8.97
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-8.5
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market76.8%
Model78.8%
Spread Pick
Steelers-8.5
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
54.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+261
Home nfelo
1,587
Away nfelo
1,429
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+47.0
Home QB Adjustment
+47.0
Away QB Adjustment
-0.0
Market Regression
+3.3
Final Difference
228.2
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-0.0
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+47.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
2
Yards / Game
20
2
Passing Yards / Game
24
17
Rushing Yards / Game
27
1
EPA
EPA / Play
19
2
EPA / Pass
17
4
EPA / Rush
31
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
8
Interceptions / Game
24
10
Fumbles / Game
26
5
Turnover EPA / Game
6
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
5
4th Down Efficiency
5
25
RZ Efficiency
23
4
Steelers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
24
Yards / Game
14
14
Passing Yards / Game
10
10
Rushing Yards / Game
11
19
EPA
EPA / Play
13
28
EPA / Pass
9
20
EPA / Rush
10
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
25
Interceptions / Game
6
14
Fumbles / Game
18
17
Turnover EPA / Game
20
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
13
4th Down Efficiency
27
3
RZ Efficiency
15
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Steelers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U