BUFBills
1-9
0
TBD
Candlestick Park
45°F
25 mph
35
SF49ers
8-2
TBD
Candlestick Park
45°F
25 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
0
0
0
0
49ers
0
14
7
14
35
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
191
409
Total Plays
51
72
Yards / Play
3.7
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.42
+0.18
Passing Yards
162
179
Comp/Att
21/38(55%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.37
+0.22
Rushing Yards
29
230
Rush Attempts
11
43
Yards / Rush
2.6
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.38
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
26
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
2
13
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
17%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
2
10
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-15.62
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-6
-10
Sack EPA
-1.71
-2.03
Penalties
7
1
Penalty Yards
47
--
Penalty EPA
-3.22
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
8
Yards / Game
13
15
Passing Yards / Game
11
19
Rushing Yards / Game
23
9
EPA
EPA / Play
23
15
EPA / Pass
21
15
EPA / Rush
16
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
27
Interceptions / Game
20
5
Fumbles / Game
20
26
Turnover EPA / Game
8
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
19
4th Down Efficiency
10
26
RZ Efficiency
16
19
49ers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
29
Yards / Game
5
20
Passing Yards / Game
13
3
Rushing Yards / Game
3
26
EPA
EPA / Play
3
29
EPA / Pass
3
17
EPA / Rush
2
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
8
Interceptions / Game
3
29
Fumbles / Game
1
29
Turnover EPA / Game
25
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
28
4th Down Efficiency
9
15
RZ Efficiency
2
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U