BUFBills
6-8
30
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
17°F
8 mph
23
DENBroncos
8-6
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
17°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
10
6
14
30
Broncos
10
3
7
3
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
532
Total Plays
52
73
Yards / Play
5.3
7.3
EPA / Play
+0.44
+0.18
Passing Yards
188
351
Comp/Att
17/25(68%)
25/45(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.38
+0.11
Rushing Yards
87
181
Rush Attempts
26
27
Yards / Rush
3.3
6.7
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
27
Passing 1st downs
11
17
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
60%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.57
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-8
Sack EPA
-1.45
-1.50
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
26
62
Penalty EPA
-3.99
-8.32
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
30
Yards / Game
25
29
Passing Yards / Game
22
21
Rushing Yards / Game
13
27
EPA
EPA / Play
15
32
EPA / Pass
24
31
EPA / Rush
9
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
32
Interceptions / Game
17
31
Fumbles / Game
29
22
Turnover EPA / Game
7
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
26
4th Down Efficiency
22
18
RZ Efficiency
22
27
Broncos Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
14
Yards / Game
2
13
Passing Yards / Game
25
17
Rushing Yards / Game
11
22
EPA
EPA / Play
5
11
EPA / Pass
4
16
EPA / Rush
5
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
10
Interceptions / Game
24
28
Fumbles / Game
18
7
Turnover EPA / Game
10
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
9
4th Down Efficiency
27
16
RZ Efficiency
16
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U