BUFBills
7-6
0
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
30°F
32 mph
8
CLEBrowns
8-5
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
30°F
32 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
0
0
0
0
Browns
3
3
0
0
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
232
304
Total Plays
65
62
Yards / Play
3.6
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.12
Passing Yards
--
130
Comp/Att
13/33(39%)
9/24(38%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.33
-0.21
Rushing Yards
108
174
Rush Attempts
32
37
Yards / Rush
3.4
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
16
Passing 1st downs
6
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
19%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-7
Sack EPA
--
-1.62
Penalties
2
2
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
21
Yards / Game
30
30
Passing Yards / Game
32
7
Rushing Yards / Game
16
27
EPA
EPA / Play
24
21
EPA / Pass
31
20
EPA / Rush
16
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
29
Interceptions / Game
6
13
Fumbles / Game
8
18
Turnover EPA / Game
27
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
7
4th Down Efficiency
16
9
RZ Efficiency
30
10
Browns Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
18
Yards / Game
7
31
Passing Yards / Game
24
18
Rushing Yards / Game
10
25
EPA
EPA / Play
8
27
EPA / Pass
13
28
EPA / Rush
12
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
23
Interceptions / Game
24
8
Fumbles / Game
8
18
Turnover EPA / Game
8
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
29
4th Down Efficiency
21
10
RZ Efficiency
14
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U