BUFBills
4-0
17
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
041
ARICardinals
2-2
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
14
3
0
17
Cardinals
7
17
7
10
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
287
373
Total Plays
46
76
Yards / Play
6.2
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.18
+0.20
Passing Yards
203
--
Comp/Att
18/24(75%)
33/42(79%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
--
EPA / Pass
-0.25
+0.34
Rushing Yards
84
123
Rush Attempts
17
34
Yards / Rush
4.9
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
28
Passing 1st downs
9
17
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
56%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
5
9
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
5
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-18.34
--
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-35
--
Sack EPA
-10.44
--
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
36
20
Penalty EPA
-6.17
-2.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
28
Yards / Game
25
16
Passing Yards / Game
22
31
Rushing Yards / Game
13
10
EPA
EPA / Play
15
19
EPA / Pass
24
23
EPA / Rush
9
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
22
Interceptions / Game
17
9
Fumbles / Game
29
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
25
4th Down Efficiency
22
29
RZ Efficiency
22
28
Cardinals Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
14
Yards / Game
4
13
Passing Yards / Game
1
17
Rushing Yards / Game
32
22
EPA
EPA / Play
10
11
EPA / Pass
5
16
EPA / Rush
30
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
10
Interceptions / Game
16
28
Fumbles / Game
24
7
Turnover EPA / Game
11
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
9
4th Down Efficiency
14
16
RZ Efficiency
8
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Cardinals
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U