nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bills @ cardinals week 15, 1999

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

BUF logo
BUFBills
8-5
31
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
64°F
5 mph
21
ARICardinals
6-7
ARI logo
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
64°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
14
0
3
14
31
Cardinals
0
14
0
7
21

Game Statistics

General
Bills logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
376
178
Total Plays
74
53
Yards / Play
5.1
3.4
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.08
Passing Yards
217
108
Comp/Att
21/31(68%)
11/30(37%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
3.6
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.17
Rushing Yards
159
70
Rush Attempts
41
21
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.06
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
Bills logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
25
14
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
13
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
71%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
12
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
11
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Bills logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.95
-0.03
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-22
-11
Sack EPA
-2.87
-4.06
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
58
20
Penalty EPA
-4.57
-2.25

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
BUF logo
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bills Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Bills logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
15
27
Yards / Game
15
23
Passing Yards / Game
23
8
Rushing Yards / Game
7
30

EPA

EPA / Play
12
24
EPA / Pass
9
17
EPA / Rush
18
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
11
Interceptions / Game
8
15
Fumbles / Game
10
21
Turnover EPA / Game
21
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
27
4th Down Efficiency
9
4
RZ Efficiency
16
31
Cardinals Offense vs Bills Defense
Cardinals logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
30
3
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
18
1
Rushing Yards / Game
29
5

EPA

EPA / Play
28
5
EPA / Pass
30
3
EPA / Rush
23
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
26
Interceptions / Game
30
27
Fumbles / Game
6
23
Turnover EPA / Game
5
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
2
4th Down Efficiency
30
9
RZ Efficiency
13
5

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BUF logo

Bills

6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/04
5
W
W
P
10/10
3
W
L
P
10/17
-6
L
L
P
10/24
-10
L
L
P
10/31
3
W
L
P
11/07
17
W
W
P
11/14
20
W
W
P
11/21
-10
L
L
P
11/28
10
W
W
P
12/12
-2
L
L
P
ARI logo

Cardinals

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
-28
L
L
P
10/10
11
W
W
P
10/17
-14
L
L
P
10/31
-24
L
L
P
11/07
-5
L
W
P
11/14
4
W
W
P
11/21
4
W
W
P
11/28
10
W
W
P
12/05
4
W
L
P
12/12
-25
L
L
P