BUFBills
8-5
31
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
64°F
5 mph
21
ARICardinals
6-7
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
64°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
14
0
3
14
31
Cardinals
0
14
0
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
376
178
Total Plays
74
53
Yards / Play
5.1
3.4
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.08
Passing Yards
217
108
Comp/Att
21/31(68%)
11/30(37%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
3.6
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.17
Rushing Yards
159
70
Rush Attempts
41
21
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.06
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
14
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
13
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
71%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
12
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
11
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.95
-0.03
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-22
-11
Sack EPA
-2.87
-4.06
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
58
20
Penalty EPA
-4.57
-2.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
27
Yards / Game
15
23
Passing Yards / Game
23
8
Rushing Yards / Game
7
30
EPA
EPA / Play
12
24
EPA / Pass
9
17
EPA / Rush
18
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
11
Interceptions / Game
8
15
Fumbles / Game
10
21
Turnover EPA / Game
21
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
27
4th Down Efficiency
9
4
RZ Efficiency
16
31
Cardinals Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
3
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
18
1
Rushing Yards / Game
29
5
EPA
EPA / Play
28
5
EPA / Pass
30
3
EPA / Rush
23
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
26
Interceptions / Game
30
27
Fumbles / Game
6
23
Turnover EPA / Game
5
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
2
4th Down Efficiency
30
9
RZ Efficiency
13
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Cardinals
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U