BUFBills
1-4
24
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
62°F
7 mph
27
LACChargers
4-2
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
62°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
10
0
14
24
Chargers
10
3
0
8
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
396
338
Total Plays
68
54
Yards / Play
5.8
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.06
Passing Yards
291
243
Comp/Att
26/39(67%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
7.4
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.15
Rushing Yards
105
95
Rush Attempts
25
20
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.31
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
17
Passing 1st downs
13
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
36%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
67%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.99
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-25
-11
Sack EPA
-6.20
-1.43
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
68
62
Penalty EPA
-10.77
-9.19
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
16
Yards / Game
13
11
Passing Yards / Game
11
27
Rushing Yards / Game
23
7
EPA
EPA / Play
23
19
EPA / Pass
21
23
EPA / Rush
16
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
26
Interceptions / Game
20
11
Fumbles / Game
20
16
Turnover EPA / Game
8
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
16
4th Down Efficiency
10
28
RZ Efficiency
16
17
Chargers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
29
Yards / Game
11
20
Passing Yards / Game
14
3
Rushing Yards / Game
22
26
EPA
EPA / Play
9
29
EPA / Pass
7
17
EPA / Rush
22
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
8
Interceptions / Game
16
29
Fumbles / Game
12
29
Turnover EPA / Game
24
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
28
4th Down Efficiency
1
15
RZ Efficiency
29
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U