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  1. nfelo...
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  3. bills @ chargers week 11, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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BUF logo
BUFBills
4-5
10
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
78°F
10 mph
48
LACChargers
5-4
LAC logo
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
78°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
7
0
0
10
Chargers
14
21
3
10
48

Game Statistics

General
Bills logo
Chargers logo
Total Yards
202
478
Total Plays
55
68
Yards / Play
3.7
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.06
+0.50
Passing Yards
137
337
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
28/33(85%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
10.2
EPA / Pass
-0.22
+0.81
Rushing Yards
65
141
Rush Attempts
13
34
Yards / Rush
5.0
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
Bills logo
Chargers logo
1st Downs
12
28
Passing 1st downs
7
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
23%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
33%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Bills logo
Chargers logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.88
--
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-31
-2
Sack EPA
-9.25
+0.82
Penalties
9
2
Penalty Yards
65
--
Penalty EPA
-8.53
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
BUF logo
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bills Offense vs Chargers Defense
Bills logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
24
13
Yards / Game
29
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
31
Rushing Yards / Game
21
1

EPA

EPA / Play
17
20
EPA / Pass
21
24
EPA / Rush
23
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
21
Interceptions / Game
17
27
Fumbles / Game
8
16
Turnover EPA / Game
22
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
14
4th Down Efficiency
24
18
RZ Efficiency
30
19
Chargers Offense vs Bills Defense
Chargers logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
3
24
Yards / Game
10
29
Passing Yards / Game
16
27
Rushing Yards / Game
8
30

EPA

EPA / Play
4
30
EPA / Pass
7
26
EPA / Rush
1
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
12
Interceptions / Game
17
11
Fumbles / Game
8
9
Turnover EPA / Game
20
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
5
32
4th Down Efficiency
5
23
RZ Efficiency
1
32

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BUF logo

Bills

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/02
-5
L
L
P
09/11
15
W
W
P
09/18
-16
L
L
P
09/25
-8
L
L
P
10/02
-12
L
L
P
10/09
6
W
W
P
10/16
10
W
W
P
10/23
-21
L
L
P
10/30
-5
L
W
P
11/13
11
W
W
P
LAC logo

Chargers

5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/08
-3
L
L
P
09/11
-4
L
L
P
09/18
-3
L
P
P
09/25
22
W
W
P
10/02
24
W
W
P
10/10
-2
L
L
P
10/16
13
W
W
P
10/23
-3
L
W
P
10/30
8
W
W
P
11/06
5
W
L
P