BUFBills
4-5
10
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
78°F
10 mph
48
LACChargers
5-4
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
78°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
7
0
0
10
Chargers
14
21
3
10
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
202
478
Total Plays
55
68
Yards / Play
3.7
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.06
+0.50
Passing Yards
137
337
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
28/33(85%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
10.2
EPA / Pass
-0.22
+0.81
Rushing Yards
65
141
Rush Attempts
13
34
Yards / Rush
5.0
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
28
Passing 1st downs
7
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
23%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
33%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.88
--
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-31
-2
Sack EPA
-9.25
+0.82
Penalties
9
2
Penalty Yards
65
--
Penalty EPA
-8.53
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
13
Yards / Game
29
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
31
Rushing Yards / Game
21
1
EPA
EPA / Play
17
20
EPA / Pass
21
24
EPA / Rush
23
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
21
Interceptions / Game
17
27
Fumbles / Game
8
16
Turnover EPA / Game
22
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
14
4th Down Efficiency
24
18
RZ Efficiency
30
19
Chargers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
24
Yards / Game
10
29
Passing Yards / Game
16
27
Rushing Yards / Game
8
30
EPA
EPA / Play
4
30
EPA / Pass
7
26
EPA / Rush
1
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
12
Interceptions / Game
17
11
Fumbles / Game
8
9
Turnover EPA / Game
20
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
32
4th Down Efficiency
5
23
RZ Efficiency
1
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U