BUFBills
5-5
54
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
50°F
10 mph
31
KCChiefs
1-9
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
50°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
7
17
17
7
48
Chiefs
7
10
7
7
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
444
462
Total Plays
70
55
Yards / Play
6.3
8.4
EPA / Play
+0.37
-0.06
Passing Yards
--
303
Comp/Att
24/32(75%)
24/39(62%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.29
-0.12
Rushing Yards
171
159
Rush Attempts
38
13
Yards / Rush
4.5
12.2
EPA / Rush
+0.20
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
21
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
13
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
29%
13%
3rd Down Conversions
4
1
3rd Down Attempts
14
8
Red Zone %
71%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
5
2
Red Zone Attempts
7
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
5
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
--
-18.51
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-13
Sack EPA
--
-3.52
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
45
75
Penalty EPA
-4.88
-10.31
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
29
Yards / Game
25
31
Passing Yards / Game
22
1
Rushing Yards / Game
13
30
EPA
EPA / Play
15
30
EPA / Pass
24
26
EPA / Rush
9
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
12
Interceptions / Game
17
18
Fumbles / Game
29
4
Turnover EPA / Game
7
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
32
4th Down Efficiency
22
7
RZ Efficiency
22
18
Chiefs Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
14
Yards / Game
24
13
Passing Yards / Game
10
17
Rushing Yards / Game
16
22
EPA
EPA / Play
23
11
EPA / Pass
22
16
EPA / Rush
12
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
10
Interceptions / Game
20
28
Fumbles / Game
12
7
Turnover EPA / Game
15
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
9
4th Down Efficiency
29
16
RZ Efficiency
10
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U