BUFBills
-
14
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
031
INDColts
-
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
6
8
0
14
Colts
7
7
7
4
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
323
393
Total Plays
63
61
Yards / Play
5.1
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.22
+0.04
Passing Yards
274
--
Comp/Att
22/42(52%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
--
EPA / Pass
-0.26
+0.38
Rushing Yards
49
109
Rush Attempts
16
29
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
15
13
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
33%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-18.51
-7.59
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-26
--
Sack EPA
-8.14
--
Penalties
13
7
Penalty Yards
100
65
Penalty EPA
-12.88
-5.65
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
17
Yards / Game
15
15
Passing Yards / Game
23
7
Rushing Yards / Game
7
21
EPA
EPA / Play
12
19
EPA / Pass
9
19
EPA / Rush
18
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
31
Interceptions / Game
8
30
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
21
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
12
4th Down Efficiency
9
12
RZ Efficiency
16
14
Colts Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
3
Yards / Game
7
1
Passing Yards / Game
29
1
Rushing Yards / Game
19
5
EPA
EPA / Play
3
5
EPA / Pass
2
3
EPA / Rush
12
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
26
Interceptions / Game
12
27
Fumbles / Game
10
23
Turnover EPA / Game
24
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
2
4th Down Efficiency
28
9
RZ Efficiency
19
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
0-0
SU
0-0
ATS
0-0
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Colts
0-0
SU
0-0
ATS
0-0
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U