BUFBills
4-4
6
TBD
Texas Stadium
55°F
5 mph
10
DALCowboys
6-2
TBD
Texas Stadium
55°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
6
0
0
6
Cowboys
7
0
3
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
185
236
Total Plays
62
69
Yards / Play
3.0
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.27
-0.21
Passing Yards
85
114
Comp/Att
17/34(50%)
15/33(45%)
Yards / Pass
2.5
3.5
EPA / Pass
-0.58
-0.27
Rushing Yards
100
122
Rush Attempts
25
35
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
14
Passing 1st downs
6
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
19%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
18
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-8.59
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-19
-2
Sack EPA
-9.77
-1.09
Penalties
1
5
Penalty Yards
--
53
Penalty EPA
--
-5.15
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
4
Yards / Game
30
1
Passing Yards / Game
22
12
Rushing Yards / Game
22
4
EPA
EPA / Play
28
6
EPA / Pass
27
4
EPA / Rush
21
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
14
Interceptions / Game
15
28
Fumbles / Game
28
23
Turnover EPA / Game
4
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
3
4th Down Efficiency
15
19
RZ Efficiency
20
4
Cowboys Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
5
Yards / Game
18
2
Passing Yards / Game
5
10
Rushing Yards / Game
13
7
EPA
EPA / Play
25
8
EPA / Pass
21
7
EPA / Rush
23
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
1
Interceptions / Game
27
30
Fumbles / Game
13
25
Turnover EPA / Game
15
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
16
4th Down Efficiency
23
21
RZ Efficiency
27
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U