BUFBills
2-1
23
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
79°F
018
MIADolphins
2-0
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
79°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
4
0
10
17
Dolphins
6
3
0
9
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
250
292
Total Plays
53
71
Yards / Play
4.7
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.23
Passing Yards
177
233
Comp/Att
12/25(48%)
22/44(50%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
5.3
EPA / Pass
+0.08
-0.54
Rushing Yards
73
59
Rush Attempts
27
25
Yards / Rush
2.7
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.43
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
18
Passing 1st downs
6
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
23%
7%
3rd Down Conversions
3
1
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
33%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.49
-17.09
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-9
-18
Sack EPA
-1.42
-10.66
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
74
50
Penalty EPA
-9.77
-5.39
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
24
Yards / Game
15
5
Passing Yards / Game
23
14
Rushing Yards / Game
7
13
EPA
EPA / Play
12
10
EPA / Pass
9
9
EPA / Rush
18
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
17
Interceptions / Game
8
14
Fumbles / Game
10
22
Turnover EPA / Game
21
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
3
4th Down Efficiency
9
24
RZ Efficiency
16
2
Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
3
Yards / Game
23
1
Passing Yards / Game
26
1
Rushing Yards / Game
24
5
EPA
EPA / Play
25
5
EPA / Pass
26
3
EPA / Rush
25
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
26
Interceptions / Game
25
27
Fumbles / Game
25
23
Turnover EPA / Game
2
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
2
4th Down Efficiency
10
9
RZ Efficiency
22
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
2-1
SU
2-1
ATS
0-0-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Dolphins
2-0
SU
1-1
ATS
0-0-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U