BUFBills
5-1
16
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
78°F
8 mph
25
MIADolphins
2-4
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
78°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
6
7
0
16
Dolphins
7
0
10
6
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
358
Total Plays
64
58
Yards / Play
5.3
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.12
Passing Yards
220
306
Comp/Att
21/35(60%)
22/30(73%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
10.2
EPA / Pass
-0.02
+0.41
Rushing Yards
119
52
Rush Attempts
27
27
Yards / Rush
4.4
1.9
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.36
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
19
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
29%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
33%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-11.06
-2.54
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-7
-8
Sack EPA
-1.78
-1.22
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
64
51
Penalty EPA
-6.52
-5.06
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
10
Yards / Game
25
14
Passing Yards / Game
22
27
Rushing Yards / Game
13
12
EPA
EPA / Play
15
24
EPA / Pass
24
14
EPA / Rush
9
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
24
Interceptions / Game
17
10
Fumbles / Game
29
14
Turnover EPA / Game
7
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
12
4th Down Efficiency
22
21
RZ Efficiency
22
11
Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
14
Yards / Game
14
13
Passing Yards / Game
8
17
Rushing Yards / Game
15
22
EPA
EPA / Play
11
11
EPA / Pass
6
16
EPA / Rush
20
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
10
Interceptions / Game
3
28
Fumbles / Game
7
7
Turnover EPA / Game
30
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
9
4th Down Efficiency
5
16
RZ Efficiency
9
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U