BUF logo
BUF
-
ATL
-
ATL logo
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
BUF logo
BUFFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bills Offense vs Falcons Defense
Bills logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
2
14
Yards / Game
2
2
Passing Yards / Game
4
6
Rushing Yards / Game
1
15

EPA

EPA / Play
1
16
EPA / Pass
5
6
EPA / Rush
1
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
28
Interceptions / Game
2
8
Fumbles / Game
1
16
Turnover EPA / Game
32
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
10
4th Down Efficiency
7
29
RZ Efficiency
8
24
Falcons Offense vs Bills Defense
Falcons logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
25
17
Yards / Game
7
11
Passing Yards / Game
20
1
Rushing Yards / Game
7
31

EPA

EPA / Play
22
25
EPA / Pass
22
11
EPA / Rush
19
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
21
Interceptions / Game
17
17
Fumbles / Game
29
9
Turnover EPA / Game
18
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
25
4th Down Efficiency
22
21
RZ Efficiency
25
21

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BUF logo

Bills

8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/22
3
W
L
U
12/29
26
W
W
O
01/05
-7
L
L
O
01/12
24
W
W
U
01/19
2
W
W
O
01/26
-3
L
L
O
09/07
1
W
W
O
09/14
20
W
W
U
09/18
10
W
L
O
09/28
12
W
L
O
ATL logo

Falcons

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/01
-4
L
L
U
12/08
-21
L
L
O
12/16
6
W
L
U
12/22
27
W
W
U
12/29
-6
L
L
O
01/05
-6
L
L
O
09/07
-3
L
L
U
09/14
16
W
W
U
09/21
-30
L
L
U
09/28
7
W
W
O