BUFBills
2-11
30
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
033
ATLFalcons
6-7
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
7
1
6
10
24
Falcons
10
3
10
10
33
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
398
489
Total Plays
53
70
Yards / Play
7.5
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.19
Passing Yards
--
422
Comp/Att
17/32(53%)
28/40(70%)
Yards / Pass
--
10.6
EPA / Pass
+0.18
+0.35
Rushing Yards
190
67
Rush Attempts
21
29
Yards / Rush
9.0
2.3
EPA / Rush
+0.46
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
8
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
50%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
6
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
67%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-11.23
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-9
Sack EPA
--
-2.09
Penalties
12
5
Penalty Yards
95
43
Penalty EPA
-10.37
-4.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
24
Yards / Game
13
30
Passing Yards / Game
11
26
Rushing Yards / Game
23
21
EPA
EPA / Play
23
26
EPA / Pass
21
30
EPA / Rush
16
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
2
Interceptions / Game
20
13
Fumbles / Game
20
27
Turnover EPA / Game
8
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
31
4th Down Efficiency
10
1
RZ Efficiency
16
29
Falcons Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
29
Yards / Game
14
20
Passing Yards / Game
8
3
Rushing Yards / Game
15
26
EPA
EPA / Play
19
29
EPA / Pass
20
17
EPA / Rush
14
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
8
Interceptions / Game
13
29
Fumbles / Game
20
29
Turnover EPA / Game
11
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
28
4th Down Efficiency
25
15
RZ Efficiency
26
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U