BUFBills
1-0
38
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
86°F
6 mph
17
JAXJaguars
0-1
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
86°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
14
7
14
3
38
Jaguars
0
7
3
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
371
287
Total Plays
59
65
Yards / Play
6.3
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.48
+0.05
Passing Yards
--
192
Comp/Att
20/27(74%)
26/40(65%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.8
EPA / Pass
+1.11
-0.17
Rushing Yards
43
95
Rush Attempts
32
22
Yards / Rush
1.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.33
+0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
57%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-22
Sack EPA
--
-6.41
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
55
97
Penalty EPA
-5.03
-10.93
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
16
Yards / Game
30
6
Passing Yards / Game
22
2
Rushing Yards / Game
22
2
EPA
EPA / Play
28
18
EPA / Pass
27
30
EPA / Rush
21
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
24
Interceptions / Game
15
15
Fumbles / Game
28
8
Turnover EPA / Game
4
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
30
4th Down Efficiency
15
20
RZ Efficiency
20
20
Jaguars Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
5
Yards / Game
12
2
Passing Yards / Game
13
10
Rushing Yards / Game
8
7
EPA
EPA / Play
18
8
EPA / Pass
16
7
EPA / Rush
12
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
1
Interceptions / Game
17
30
Fumbles / Game
19
25
Turnover EPA / Game
9
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
16
4th Down Efficiency
16
21
RZ Efficiency
25
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U