BUFBills
1-0
20
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
87°F
5 mph
16
JAXJaguars
0-1
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
87°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
7
3
0
10
20
Jaguars
0
3
10
3
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
285
233
Total Plays
54
57
Yards / Play
5.3
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.03
Passing Yards
210
135
Comp/Att
20/25(80%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.21
Rushing Yards
75
98
Rush Attempts
26
27
Yards / Rush
2.9
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
11
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
55%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.60
-2.86
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-29
-20
Sack EPA
-9.15
-3.56
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
40
35
Penalty EPA
-6.01
-2.56
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
21
Yards / Game
25
18
Passing Yards / Game
22
14
Rushing Yards / Game
13
14
EPA
EPA / Play
15
26
EPA / Pass
24
30
EPA / Rush
9
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
8
Interceptions / Game
17
18
Fumbles / Game
29
32
Turnover EPA / Game
7
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
21
4th Down Efficiency
22
10
RZ Efficiency
22
25
Jaguars Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
14
Yards / Game
20
13
Passing Yards / Game
6
17
Rushing Yards / Game
18
22
EPA
EPA / Play
18
11
EPA / Pass
19
16
EPA / Rush
6
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
10
Interceptions / Game
11
28
Fumbles / Game
20
7
Turnover EPA / Game
16
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
9
4th Down Efficiency
8
16
RZ Efficiency
15
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U