BUFBills
0-4
13
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
66°F
13 mph
10
JAXJaguars
2-2
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
66°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
3
7
3
13
Jaguars
0
0
1
3
4
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
317
247
Total Plays
67
51
Yards / Play
4.7
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.37
Passing Yards
219
132
Comp/Att
23/30(77%)
16/26(62%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.28
-0.81
Rushing Yards
98
115
Rush Attempts
35
21
Yards / Rush
2.8
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
14
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
43%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-4.79
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-19
-18
Sack EPA
-3.29
-3.97
Penalties
8
--
Penalty Yards
66
--
Penalty EPA
-2.03
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
7
Yards / Game
13
16
Passing Yards / Game
11
29
Rushing Yards / Game
23
10
EPA
EPA / Play
23
17
EPA / Pass
21
22
EPA / Rush
16
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
3
Interceptions / Game
20
28
Fumbles / Game
20
19
Turnover EPA / Game
8
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
20
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
16
17
Jaguars Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
29
Yards / Game
21
20
Passing Yards / Game
12
3
Rushing Yards / Game
26
26
EPA
EPA / Play
31
29
EPA / Pass
31
17
EPA / Rush
31
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
8
Interceptions / Game
7
29
Fumbles / Game
20
29
Turnover EPA / Game
17
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
28
4th Down Efficiency
28
15
RZ Efficiency
31
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U