BUFBills
6-7
27
TBD
Giants Stadium
40°F
20 mph
31
NYJJets
8-5
TBD
Giants Stadium
40°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
14
3
7
27
Jets
14
7
0
4
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
372
Total Plays
74
54
Yards / Play
4.1
6.9
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.03
Passing Yards
119
--
Comp/Att
24/39(62%)
17/30(57%)
Yards / Pass
3.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.45
-0.04
Rushing Yards
187
165
Rush Attempts
32
24
Yards / Rush
5.8
6.9
EPA / Rush
+0.34
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
18
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
43%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
3
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-15.95
-8.17
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-29
--
Sack EPA
-11.79
--
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
33
--
Penalty EPA
-2.02
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
18
Yards / Game
25
17
Passing Yards / Game
22
25
Rushing Yards / Game
13
7
EPA
EPA / Play
15
12
EPA / Pass
24
15
EPA / Rush
9
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
19
Interceptions / Game
17
15
Fumbles / Game
29
2
Turnover EPA / Game
7
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
15
4th Down Efficiency
22
30
RZ Efficiency
22
12
Jets Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
14
Yards / Game
16
13
Passing Yards / Game
19
17
Rushing Yards / Game
9
22
EPA
EPA / Play
9
11
EPA / Pass
14
16
EPA / Rush
3
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
10
Interceptions / Game
32
28
Fumbles / Game
4
7
Turnover EPA / Game
6
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
9
4th Down Efficiency
11
16
RZ Efficiency
17
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U