BUFBills
2-12
14
TBD
Giants Stadium
32°F
15 mph
9
NYJJets
9-5
TBD
Giants Stadium
32°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
7
7
0
14
Jets
3
3
0
3
9
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
368
375
Total Plays
68
60
Yards / Play
5.4
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.09
Passing Yards
176
--
Comp/Att
16/27(59%)
19/37(51%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
--
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.19
Rushing Yards
192
148
Rush Attempts
40
23
Yards / Rush
4.8
6.4
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
19
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
44%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-1.38
-11.87
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-1.66
--
Penalties
9
3
Penalty Yards
53
25
Penalty EPA
-6.13
-1.98
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
14
Yards / Game
13
24
Passing Yards / Game
11
17
Rushing Yards / Game
23
29
EPA
EPA / Play
23
16
EPA / Pass
21
13
EPA / Rush
16
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
30
Interceptions / Game
20
12
Fumbles / Game
20
1
Turnover EPA / Game
8
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
30
4th Down Efficiency
10
19
RZ Efficiency
16
10
Jets Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
29
Yards / Game
18
20
Passing Yards / Game
31
3
Rushing Yards / Game
4
26
EPA
EPA / Play
15
29
EPA / Pass
11
17
EPA / Rush
8
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
8
Interceptions / Game
5
29
Fumbles / Game
2
29
Turnover EPA / Game
27
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
28
4th Down Efficiency
6
15
RZ Efficiency
17
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U