BUFBills
7-7
0
TBD
Lambeau Field
27°F
25 mph
10
GBPackers
11-3
TBD
Lambeau Field
27°F
25 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
0
0
0
0
Packers
0
3
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
185
223
Total Plays
66
65
Yards / Play
2.8
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.33
-0.19
Passing Yards
142
104
Comp/Att
18/36(50%)
15/33(45%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
3.2
EPA / Pass
-0.40
-0.49
Rushing Yards
43
119
Rush Attempts
24
30
Yards / Rush
1.8
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.40
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
25%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-17.78
-3.94
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-37
-10
Sack EPA
-12.33
-3.36
Penalties
2
3
Penalty Yards
10
--
Penalty EPA
-1.42
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
12
Yards / Game
9
7
Passing Yards / Game
1
3
Rushing Yards / Game
23
24
EPA
EPA / Play
11
8
EPA / Pass
7
2
EPA / Rush
22
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
24
Interceptions / Game
12
4
Fumbles / Game
21
2
Turnover EPA / Game
5
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
5
4th Down Efficiency
11
5
RZ Efficiency
15
17
Packers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
27
Yards / Game
12
14
Passing Yards / Game
8
6
Rushing Yards / Game
14
29
EPA
EPA / Play
19
26
EPA / Pass
17
17
EPA / Rush
19
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
2
Interceptions / Game
20
26
Fumbles / Game
19
24
Turnover EPA / Game
11
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
9
4th Down Efficiency
21
11
RZ Efficiency
18
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U