BUF logo
BUF
-
17
19
NE
-
NE logo
TBD
Gillette Stadium
63°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
4
7
0
0
11
Patriots
7
0
7
3
17

Game Statistics

General
Bills logo
Patriots logo
Total Yards
240
319
Total Plays
50
67
Yards / Play
4.8
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.05
Passing Yards
141
136
Comp/Att
15/23(65%)
11/23(48%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.19
Rushing Yards
99
183
Rush Attempts
24
41
Yards / Rush
4.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
Bills logo
Patriots logo
1st Downs
12
19
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
27%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Bills logo
Patriots logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-11.13
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-23
-27
Sack EPA
-3.81
-11.17
Penalties
7
1
Penalty Yards
53
--
Penalty EPA
-0.30
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
BUF logo
BUFFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bills Offense vs Patriots Defense
Bills logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
23
2
Yards / Game
30
10
Passing Yards / Game
20
30
Rushing Yards / Game
27
5

EPA

EPA / Play
21
6
EPA / Pass
18
5
EPA / Rush
25
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
24
Interceptions / Game
11
4
Fumbles / Game
28
12
Turnover EPA / Game
16
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
10
4th Down Efficiency
20
2
RZ Efficiency
25
3
Patriots Offense vs Bills Defense
Patriots logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
5
9
Yards / Game
11
18
Passing Yards / Game
16
6
Rushing Yards / Game
14
27

EPA

EPA / Play
4
10
EPA / Pass
6
9
EPA / Rush
11
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
6
Interceptions / Game
10
24
Fumbles / Game
25
25
Turnover EPA / Game
27
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
12
4th Down Efficiency
1
28
RZ Efficiency
3
20