BUF logo
BUF
-
NE
-
NE logo
TBD
Gillette Stadium
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
BUF logo
BUFFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bills Offense vs Patriots Defense
Bills logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
4
5
Yards / Game
2
8
Passing Yards / Game
10
27
Rushing Yards / Game
1
1

EPA

EPA / Play
2
8
EPA / Pass
4
14
EPA / Rush
2
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
6
Interceptions / Game
16
16
Fumbles / Game
10
16
Turnover EPA / Game
22
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
4
11
4th Down Efficiency
20
2
RZ Efficiency
5
31
Patriots Offense vs Bills Defense
Patriots logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
7
14
Yards / Game
9
13
Passing Yards / Game
1
3
Rushing Yards / Game
20
31

EPA

EPA / Play
6
25
EPA / Pass
1
8
EPA / Rush
28
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
20
Interceptions / Game
9
14
Fumbles / Game
26
5
Turnover EPA / Game
14
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
18
4th Down Efficiency
1
23
RZ Efficiency
17
12

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BUF logo

Bills

7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/07
1
W
W
O
09/14
20
W
W
U
09/18
10
W
L
O
09/28
12
W
L
O
10/05
-3
L
L
U
10/13
-10
L
L
U
10/26
31
W
W
O
11/02
7
W
W
U
11/09
-17
L
L
U
11/16
12
W
W
O
NE logo

Patriots

9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
6
W
W
O
09/21
-7
L
L
U
09/28
29
W
W
O
10/05
3
W
W
U
10/12
6
W
W
U
10/19
18
W
W
O
10/26
19
W
W
O
11/02
1
W
L
O
11/09
5
W
W
O
11/13
13
W
W
U