BUFBills
0-1
10
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
64°F
15 mph
13
OAKRaiders
0-1
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
64°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
3
0
7
10
Raiders
0
7
3
3
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
243
273
Total Plays
56
55
Yards / Play
4.3
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.02
Passing Yards
176
200
Comp/Att
14/25(56%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
7.4
EPA / Pass
+0.03
+0.25
Rushing Yards
67
73
Rush Attempts
24
26
Yards / Rush
2.8
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
12
Passing 1st downs
8
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
31%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.28
--
Sacks
7
2
Sack Yards
-46
-9
Sack EPA
-10.51
-1.86
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
55
96
Penalty EPA
-5.58
-10.03
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
31
Yards / Game
25
30
Passing Yards / Game
23
15
Rushing Yards / Game
12
23
EPA
EPA / Play
20
31
EPA / Pass
20
32
EPA / Rush
25
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
27
Interceptions / Game
17
29
Fumbles / Game
18
25
Turnover EPA / Game
14
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
32
4th Down Efficiency
19
16
RZ Efficiency
28
32
Raiders Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
8
Yards / Game
17
2
Passing Yards / Game
4
5
Rushing Yards / Game
32
6
EPA
EPA / Play
13
1
EPA / Pass
19
2
EPA / Rush
22
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
13
Interceptions / Game
29
2
Fumbles / Game
23
3
Turnover EPA / Game
9
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
13
4th Down Efficiency
14
30
RZ Efficiency
21
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
2-8
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Raiders
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U