BUFBills
3-0
31
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
014
LARRams
0-3
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
6
0
7
12
25
Rams
7
7
0
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
279
380
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
4.7
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.33
Passing Yards
166
213
Comp/Att
15/25(60%)
17/33(52%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.14
-0.57
Rushing Yards
111
167
Rush Attempts
31
29
Yards / Rush
3.6
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.00
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
16
Passing 1st downs
7
7
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
23%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.14
-9.74
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-31
-23
Sack EPA
-6.77
-3.66
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
35
50
Penalty EPA
-3.22
+0.49
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
31
Yards / Game
25
28
Passing Yards / Game
22
20
Rushing Yards / Game
13
29
EPA
EPA / Play
15
28
EPA / Pass
24
24
EPA / Rush
9
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
5
Interceptions / Game
17
23
Fumbles / Game
29
9
Turnover EPA / Game
7
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
17
4th Down Efficiency
22
26
RZ Efficiency
22
30
Rams Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
14
Yards / Game
27
13
Passing Yards / Game
15
17
Rushing Yards / Game
24
22
EPA
EPA / Play
32
11
EPA / Pass
31
16
EPA / Rush
29
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
10
Interceptions / Game
26
28
Fumbles / Game
25
7
Turnover EPA / Game
2
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
9
4th Down Efficiency
19
16
RZ Efficiency
32
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U