BUFBills
4-2
16
TBD
Seattle Kingdome
70°F
026
SEASeahawks
3-2
TBD
Seattle Kingdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
3
6
7
16
Seahawks
13
10
0
3
26
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
352
385
Total Plays
78
63
Yards / Play
4.5
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.01
Passing Yards
254
275
Comp/Att
24/49(49%)
17/30(57%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
9.2
EPA / Pass
-0.19
+0.41
Rushing Yards
98
110
Rush Attempts
26
32
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
18
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
31%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.34
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-40
-1
Sack EPA
-9.75
-1.46
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
35
40
Penalty EPA
-3.69
-5.28
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
8
Yards / Game
15
22
Passing Yards / Game
23
21
Rushing Yards / Game
7
26
EPA
EPA / Play
12
9
EPA / Pass
9
8
EPA / Rush
18
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
15
Interceptions / Game
8
1
Fumbles / Game
10
27
Turnover EPA / Game
21
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
17
4th Down Efficiency
9
13
RZ Efficiency
16
18
Seahawks Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
3
Yards / Game
25
1
Passing Yards / Game
14
1
Rushing Yards / Game
26
5
EPA
EPA / Play
17
5
EPA / Pass
14
3
EPA / Rush
31
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
26
Interceptions / Game
15
27
Fumbles / Game
22
23
Turnover EPA / Game
16
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
2
4th Down Efficiency
24
9
RZ Efficiency
20
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
4-2
SU
3-3
ATS
0-0-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Seahawks
3-2
SU
1-4
ATS
0-0-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U