BUFBills
2-3
31
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
024
HOUTexans
1-3
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
7
7
14
31
Texans
3
14
0
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
403
338
Total Plays
69
58
Yards / Play
5.8
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.21
+0.12
Passing Yards
230
197
Comp/Att
19/33(58%)
13/24(54%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.30
+0.02
Rushing Yards
173
141
Rush Attempts
33
29
Yards / Rush
5.2
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.13
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
18
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
5
3
3rd Down %
43%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.98
--
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-24
-26
Sack EPA
-4.16
-4.14
Penalties
13
11
Penalty Yards
128
75
Penalty EPA
-15.96
-10.68
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
18
Yards / Game
9
15
Passing Yards / Game
1
1
Rushing Yards / Game
23
28
EPA
EPA / Play
11
3
EPA / Pass
7
7
EPA / Rush
22
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
1
Interceptions / Game
12
26
Fumbles / Game
21
17
Turnover EPA / Game
5
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
7
4th Down Efficiency
11
15
RZ Efficiency
15
7
Texans Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
27
Yards / Game
32
14
Passing Yards / Game
30
6
Rushing Yards / Game
31
29
EPA
EPA / Play
31
26
EPA / Pass
32
17
EPA / Rush
31
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
2
Interceptions / Game
12
26
Fumbles / Game
15
24
Turnover EPA / Game
20
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
9
4th Down Efficiency
24
11
RZ Efficiency
27
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
1-3
SU
2-2
ATS
0-0-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U