BUFBills
6-7
26
TBD
Nissan Stadium
37°F
10 mph
28
TENTitans
9-4
TBD
Nissan Stadium
37°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
10
1
9
20
Titans
3
3
8
14
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
241
351
Total Plays
54
78
Yards / Play
4.5
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.06
Passing Yards
152
263
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
26/41(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.06
+0.05
Rushing Yards
89
88
Rush Attempts
20
33
Yards / Rush
4.5
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
23
Passing 1st downs
8
17
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
17%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
2
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
50%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.41
-8.83
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-16
-32
Sack EPA
-7.19
-14.76
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
--
68
Penalty EPA
--
-5.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
11
Yards / Game
30
10
Passing Yards / Game
22
32
Rushing Yards / Game
22
1
EPA
EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
27
9
EPA / Rush
21
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
26
Interceptions / Game
15
8
Fumbles / Game
28
17
Turnover EPA / Game
4
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
1
4th Down Efficiency
15
28
RZ Efficiency
20
9
Titans Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
5
Yards / Game
10
2
Passing Yards / Game
10
10
Rushing Yards / Game
21
7
EPA
EPA / Play
6
8
EPA / Pass
2
7
EPA / Rush
26
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
1
Interceptions / Game
3
30
Fumbles / Game
15
25
Turnover EPA / Game
21
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
16
4th Down Efficiency
23
21
RZ Efficiency
12
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
4-6
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U