BUFBills
0-1
45
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
039
MINVikings
0-1
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Bills
6
7
10
10
6
39
Vikings
3
10
13
13
0
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
468
449
Total Plays
66
90
Yards / Play
7.1
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.06
Passing Yards
437
236
Comp/Att
35/49(71%)
25/46(54%)
Yards / Pass
8.9
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.45
-0.11
Rushing Yards
31
213
Rush Attempts
14
39
Yards / Rush
2.2
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.58
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
31
Passing 1st downs
22
15
Rushing 1st downs
2
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
33%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
40%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
5
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
--
-17.40
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-26
-45
Sack EPA
-4.96
-17.66
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
65
65
Penalty EPA
-7.27
-7.65
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
30
Yards / Game
9
26
Passing Yards / Game
1
19
Rushing Yards / Game
23
9
EPA
EPA / Play
11
29
EPA / Pass
7
32
EPA / Rush
22
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
4
Interceptions / Game
12
19
Fumbles / Game
21
29
Turnover EPA / Game
5
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
11
2
RZ Efficiency
15
21
Vikings Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
27
Yards / Game
1
14
Passing Yards / Game
12
6
Rushing Yards / Game
1
29
EPA
EPA / Play
12
26
EPA / Pass
13
17
EPA / Rush
2
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
2
Interceptions / Game
30
26
Fumbles / Game
27
24
Turnover EPA / Game
6
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
9
4th Down Efficiency
19
11
RZ Efficiency
9
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U