BUFBills
3-2
27
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
031
MINVikings
6-0
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
10
7
10
27
Vikings
3
3
7
18
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
406
350
Total Plays
72
50
Yards / Play
5.6
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.18
Passing Yards
286
--
Comp/Att
28/43(65%)
17/29(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.31
+0.17
Rushing Yards
120
97
Rush Attempts
28
22
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
17
Passing 1st downs
15
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
59%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
10
3
3rd Down Attempts
17
9
Red Zone %
67%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-2.43
-5.01
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-8
--
Sack EPA
-1.24
--
Penalties
11
9
Penalty Yards
72
55
Penalty EPA
-8.93
-3.49
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
24
Yards / Game
8
30
Passing Yards / Game
6
26
Rushing Yards / Game
10
14
EPA
EPA / Play
24
27
EPA / Pass
13
28
EPA / Rush
23
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
19
Interceptions / Game
1
28
Fumbles / Game
11
24
Turnover EPA / Game
31
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
30
4th Down Efficiency
2
10
RZ Efficiency
17
20
Vikings Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
22
Yards / Game
5
4
Passing Yards / Game
11
7
Rushing Yards / Game
7
6
EPA
EPA / Play
3
19
EPA / Pass
4
12
EPA / Rush
2
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
3
Interceptions / Game
19
17
Fumbles / Game
6
11
Turnover EPA / Game
14
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
12
4th Down Efficiency
5
23
RZ Efficiency
6
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
9-1
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U