DENBroncos
7-2
17
TBD
Soldier Field
29°F
9 mph
15
CHIBears
4-5
TBD
Soldier Field
29°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
7
3
0
7
17
Bears
0
6
3
6
15
Spread
2
P
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
389
347
Total Plays
68
60
Yards / Play
5.7
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.06
Passing Yards
219
261
Comp/Att
20/27(74%)
18/32(56%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.27
-0.23
Rushing Yards
170
86
Rush Attempts
36
26
Yards / Rush
4.7
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
19
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
43%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
33%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-9.90
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-31
-4
Sack EPA
-7.95
-6.69
Penalties
8
--
Penalty Yards
118
--
Penalty EPA
-12.09
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-2.0
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market54.7%
Model53.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-0
Home nfelo
1,448
Away nfelo
1,611
Home Field
+72.8
Base HFA
+61.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.1
Net QB Adjustment
+90.1
Home QB Adjustment
+25.6
Away QB Adjustment
-64.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-26.1
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
B. Osweiler
Proj. Value
-2.8
Team Elo Adj
-64.6
No recent game data available
J. Cutler
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+25.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
20
Yards / Game
21
14
Passing Yards / Game
21
10
Rushing Yards / Game
17
22
EPA
EPA / Play
26
28
EPA / Pass
27
22
EPA / Rush
27
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
20
Interceptions / Game
30
30
Fumbles / Game
19
26
Turnover EPA / Game
10
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
29
4th Down Efficiency
22
9
RZ Efficiency
28
22
Bears Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
4
Yards / Game
19
2
Passing Yards / Game
11
12
Rushing Yards / Game
11
1
EPA
EPA / Play
14
1
EPA / Pass
17
1
EPA / Rush
10
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
12
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
21
7
Turnover EPA / Game
18
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
2
4th Down Efficiency
5
8
RZ Efficiency
27
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Bears
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U