DENBroncos
4-3
21
TBD
Paycor Stadium
73°F
2 mph
31
CINBengals
0-6
TBD
Paycor Stadium
73°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
7
7
0
7
21
Bengals
0
10
7
14
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
500
421
Total Plays
78
50
Yards / Play
6.4
8.4
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.37
Passing Yards
350
14
Comp/Att
30/44(68%)
2/13(15%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
1.1
EPA / Pass
+0.19
-0.46
Rushing Yards
142
407
Rush Attempts
32
37
Yards / Rush
4.4
11.0
EPA / Rush
+0.13
+0.55
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
32
15
Passing 1st downs
18
2
Rushing 1st downs
11
12
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
36%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-12.08
-2.44
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-7
-20
Sack EPA
-5.38
-3.63
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
38
69
Penalty EPA
-3.38
-3.94
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
19
Yards / Game
2
24
Passing Yards / Game
2
21
Rushing Yards / Game
4
24
EPA
EPA / Play
6
22
EPA / Pass
6
29
EPA / Rush
5
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
6
Interceptions / Game
4
31
Fumbles / Game
15
12
Turnover EPA / Game
19
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
25
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
9
10
Bengals Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
21
Yards / Game
29
21
Passing Yards / Game
29
23
Rushing Yards / Game
2
8
EPA
EPA / Play
29
18
EPA / Pass
31
15
EPA / Rush
13
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
23
Interceptions / Game
7
2
Fumbles / Game
28
8
Turnover EPA / Game
10
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
6
4th Down Efficiency
21
9
RZ Efficiency
27
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U