DENBroncos
10-3
28
TBD
New Era Field
28°F
017
BUFBills
4-9
TBD
New Era Field
28°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
7
14
7
28
Bills
7
0
3
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
437
272
Total Plays
75
52
Yards / Play
5.8
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.26
+0.11
Passing Yards
259
197
Comp/Att
20/37(54%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.31
+0.18
Rushing Yards
178
75
Rush Attempts
37
16
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
17
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
14
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
50%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
80%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.20
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
--
-5
Sack EPA
-0.39
-1.04
Penalties
9
12
Penalty Yards
90
82
Penalty EPA
-8.99
-7.44
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
24
Yards / Game
5
29
Passing Yards / Game
13
27
Rushing Yards / Game
3
30
EPA
EPA / Play
6
30
EPA / Pass
9
26
EPA / Rush
2
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
12
Interceptions / Game
2
11
Fumbles / Game
15
9
Turnover EPA / Game
31
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
32
4th Down Efficiency
2
23
RZ Efficiency
6
32
Bills Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
6
Yards / Game
29
19
Passing Yards / Game
22
4
Rushing Yards / Game
21
2
EPA
EPA / Play
17
13
EPA / Pass
21
15
EPA / Rush
23
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
30
Interceptions / Game
17
6
Fumbles / Game
8
4
Turnover EPA / Game
22
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
16
4th Down Efficiency
24
18
RZ Efficiency
30
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U