DEN logo
DEN
10-3
28
17
BUF
4-9
BUF logo
TBD
New Era Field
28°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
7
14
7
28
Bills
7
0
3
7
17

Game Statistics

General
Broncos logo
Bills logo
Total Yards
437
272
Total Plays
75
52
Yards / Play
5.8
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.26
+0.11
Passing Yards
259
197
Comp/Att
20/37(54%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.31
+0.18
Rushing Yards
178
75
Rush Attempts
37
16
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
Broncos logo
Bills logo
1st Downs
27
17
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
14
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
50%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
80%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Broncos logo
Bills logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.20
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
--
-5
Sack EPA
-0.39
-1.04
Penalties
9
12
Penalty Yards
90
82
Penalty EPA
-8.99
-7.44

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DEN logo
DENFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Broncos Offense vs Bills Defense
Broncos logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
8
24
Yards / Game
5
29
Passing Yards / Game
13
27
Rushing Yards / Game
3
30

EPA

EPA / Play
6
30
EPA / Pass
9
26
EPA / Rush
2
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
12
Interceptions / Game
2
11
Fumbles / Game
15
9
Turnover EPA / Game
31
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
32
4th Down Efficiency
2
23
RZ Efficiency
6
32
Bills Offense vs Broncos Defense
Bills logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
24
6
Yards / Game
29
19
Passing Yards / Game
22
4
Rushing Yards / Game
21
2

EPA

EPA / Play
17
13
EPA / Pass
21
15
EPA / Rush
23
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
30
Interceptions / Game
17
6
Fumbles / Game
8
4
Turnover EPA / Game
22
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
16
4th Down Efficiency
24
18
RZ Efficiency
30
28